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2021 NBA Playoffs: Jazz vs. Grizzlies odds, line, picks, Game 4 predictions from model on 99-66 roll

The Utah Jazz and the Memphis Grizzlies get together on the evening of Memorial Day. FedExForum in Memphis hosts this Game 4 matchup as the nightcap to the holiday weekend in the 2021 NBA Playoffs. Utah holds a 2-1 lead in the series after a 10-point road on Saturday. Memphis won the series opener and the Grizzlies have enjoyed considerable offensive success against the top-seeded Jazz.

Tip-off is at 9:30 p.m. ET in Memphis. William Hill Sportsbook lists Utah as a five-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 225 in the latest Jazz vs. Grizzlies odds. Before locking in any Grizzlies vs. Jazz picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $800 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the first full week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 99-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen massive returns.  

Now, the model has set its sights on Jazz vs. Grizzlies in the NBA Playoffs 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Jazz:

  • Jazz vs. Grizzlies spread: Jazz -5
  • Jazz vs. Grizzlies over-under: 225 points
  • Jazz vs. Grizzlies money line: Jazz -215, Grizzlies +185
  • Utah: The Jazz are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 3-6-1 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz

Why the Jazz can cover

Utah’s prowess from the regular season provides an incredibly strong baseline. The Jazz amassed the NBA’s best record with elite units on both ends of the floor. Rudy Gobert, who is averaging 15.7 points, 14.0 rebounds and 3.7 blocked shots per game in the series, keys a defense that ranked No. 3 in the NBA in overall efficiency this season. Utah led the league in shooting efficiency allowed, and the Jazz are cohesive and effective in stifling opponents. On the offensive end, Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley are a fantastic backcourt pairing. 

The Jazz were a top-five offensive team during the regular season, scoring more than 1.16 points per possession, and that figure balloons to 1.25 points per possession in this series. Utah sits in a tie for the No. 1 spot in the NBA Playoffs in true shooting percentage (63.5 percent), and Conley is averaging 23.0 points and 11.5 assists per game against Memphis. As a team, the Jazz have few weaknesses and, with Mitchell back and healthy from an ankle injury, they have championship upside.

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis is fighting an uphill battle in overall talent, but the Grizzlies have performed well in the series and have plenty of angles to attack. Second-year point guard Ja Morant has been fantastic, averaging 33.7 points and 6.0 assists per game, and Dillon Brooks is averaging 27.0 points with top-tier defense on the wing. As a team, Memphis is scoring almost 1.19 points per possession, an elite figure, and they are No. 1 in the NBA Playoffs in ball security, turning the ball over on only 9.8 percent of possessions. In the regular season, the Grizzlies also ranked in the top five in both offensive rebound rate (28.5 percent) and assists (26.9 per game). 

On the defensive side, Memphis has faced trouble through three games, but the Grizzlies were No. 7 in the NBA in defensive rating (110.5 points allowed per 100 possessions). They can make hay by generating havoc, as the Grizzlies led the NBA in steals (9.1 per game), during the 2020-21 regular season.

How to make Grizzlies vs. Jazz picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 218 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.