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Braves vs. Mets odds, line: 2021 MLB picks, Sunday Night Baseball predictions for May 30 from top model

After having Friday’s scheduled opener of their three-game series against the Atlanta Braves postponed by rain, the New York Mets scored early and often en route to their fourth consecutive victory a day later. The club crossed the plate in five of its eight innings as it registered 13 hits – six for extra bases – in a 13-2 triumph. The first-place Mets aim for another dominant win when they host the National League East-rival Braves on Sunday Night Baseball.

First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. Atlanta sends left-hander Max Fried (2-2, 4.63 ERA) to the mound against right-hander Jacob deGrom (3-2, 0.80). New York is the -145 favorite (risk $145 to win $100) on the money line at William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for runs scored is 5.5 in the latest Braves vs. Mets odds. Before making any Mets vs. Braves picks, check out the latest Sunday Night Baseball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. It is off to a fast start in 2021, going 61-44 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through eight weeks, returning well over $700. Anyone following it has seen huge rewards.

Now, the model has dialed in on Braves vs. Mets on Sunday Night Baseball. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB lines and trends for Mets vs. Braves:

  • Braves vs. Mets money line: New York -145, Atlanta +135
  • Braves vs. Mets run line: New York -1.5
  • Braves vs. Mets over-under: 5.5 runs
  • ATL: The Braves are 1-4 in their last five games as underdogs
  • NYM: The Mets are 8-0 in their last eight contests when their opponent scored fewer than three runs in its previous game

Featured Game | New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Why you should back the Braves

After recording 41 home runs and 101 RBIs in 2019, Ronald Acuna Jr. had 14 and 29 in 46 games last season. The 23-year-old Venezuelan has done slightly better in the same amount of contests this year, belting 15 homers and driving in 32 runs – both team highs. Acuna also has had some success against deGrom in his brief career, going 8-for-25 with a double and two RBIs.

Fried has been superb this month following a rough April, allowing just one run in each of his four starts. The 27-year-old southpaw has given up 15 hits with nine walks and 20 strikeouts over 24 innings in that span. One of those outings came against the Mets on May 17, when Fried yielded five hits and fanned a season high-tying eight batters over six frames but was tagged with the loss.

Why you should back the Mets

New York owns the best home record in the majors at 15-5 and has won nine of its last 10 at Citi Field. The Mets flexed their muscles on Saturday, belting five home runs – including two during a seven-run sixth inning. Catcher James McCann made a rare start at first base and flourished offensively, going 4-for-5 with a double, homer, two RBIs and three runs scored.

The 30-year-old likely will be behind the plate to catch deGrom, who has yet to allow more than one earned run this season. A two-time Cy Young Award winner, the 32-year-old was limited to five innings against Colorado on Tuesday in his return from a side injury and showed no ill effects, giving up one run and three hits with nine strikeouts and zero walks. In 23 career starts versus the Braves, deGrom has permitted 32 earned runs and fanned 181 batters over 148 1/3 frames.

How to make Mets vs. Braves picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, as the teams combine for 7.9 runs in the simulations, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Braves vs. Mets? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model off to a hot start in 2021.