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Rays vs. Blue Jays odds, line: 2021 MLB picks, predictions for May 24 from proven model

The Tampa Bay Rays go for the wrap-around four-game series sweep when they take on the host Toronto Blue Jays in a key American League East Division matchup on Monday. The Rays (29-19), who are tied for first in the division with the Boston Red Sox, have won 10 in a row. Tampa Bay rallied from a two-run deficit in the ninth inning on Sunday, scoring four times for a 6-4 victory. The Blue Jays (23-22), who are fourth in the AL East, have lost five in a row.

First pitch from TD Ballpark in Dunedin, Fla., is set for 1:07 p.m. ET. The Rays lead the all-time series 223-185, although Toronto holds a 104-97 edge in home games. Tampa Bay is a -121 favorite on the money line (risk $121 to win $100) in the latest Rays vs. Blue Jays odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 10.5. Before making any Blue Jays vs. Rays picks, check out the latest Sunday Night Baseball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. It is off to a fast start in 2021, going 52-36 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through seven weeks, returning over $900. Anyone following it has seen huge rewards.

Now, the model has dialed in on Rays vs. Blue Jays. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB lines and trends for Blue Jays vs. Rays:

  • Rays vs. Blue Jays money line: Tampa Bay -121, Toronto +110
  • Rays vs. Blue Jays run line: Tampa Bay -1.5 (+120)
  • Rays vs. Blue Jays over-under: 10.5 runs
  • TB: The Rays are 7-0 in their last seven road games against a team with a winning record
  • TOR: The Blue Jays are 10-4 in their last 14 Monday games

Featured Game | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Why you should back the Rays

Tampa Bay will send left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (2-3, 4.24 ERA) to the mound. In his last outing, he allowed six runs — three earned — in six innings on Wednesday in Baltimore. In 13 career games against Toronto, including five starts, Yarbrough is 6-1 with a 2.21 ERA. This season, he has flourished when pitching multiple innings after an opener, going 2-0, 1.00 ERA in four games. He is 0-3 with a 6.28 ERA in five starts, however.

Offensively, the Rays have been on a roll, averaging 7.4 runs over the last five games. Outfielder Manuel Margot has been red hot and has an eight-game hitting streak. He is 12-for-37 (.324) with two doubles, one homer and eight RBIs during that stretch. In Sunday’s win over the Blue Jays, he was 2-for-4 with a walk and two RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .247 with four homers and 25 RBIs.

Why you should back the Blue Jays

Right-hander Ross Stripling (0-3, 7.20 ERA) gets the start for Toronto. Despite getting hit hard in his last start against Boston, giving up six earned runs on eight hits in 3 2/3 innings, he had been pitching well of late. At Atlanta on May 13, he allowed just two earned runs on four hits in five innings of work. He walked one, while striking out nine. He has fared well in limited action against the Rays. In six innings over three appearances, Stripling has not allowed a run, while allowing five hits and one walk with six strikeouts.

Third baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays’ offense, batting .331 with 13 homers, 36 RBIs and 35 runs scored. He has hits in nine of the past 10 games, including three multi-hit performances. During that stretch, he is 16-for-41 (.390) with four doubles, five homers and 10 RBIs. In 29 career games against the Rays, he is batting .252 with five homers and 16 RBIs.

How to make Blue Jays vs. Rays picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, as the teams combine for 10.3 runs in the simulations, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Blue Jays vs. Rays? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model off to a hot start in 2021.