AFC teams will face off in the Week 5 edition of Monday Night Football. The Baltimore Ravens will host the Indianapolis Colts in the final game of the week with lofty stakes on both sides. Baltimore is looking to improve to 4-1 in just its second home game of the 2021 season. Indianapolis is seeking a win that would avoid disaster, as the Colts are just 1-3 through four weeks.
Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Baltimore. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Ravens as seven-point home favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 46 in the latest Ravens vs. Colts odds. Before you make any Colts vs. Ravens picks and NFL predictions, see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on an incredible 124-82 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Colts vs. Ravens. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines and trends for Colts vs. Ravens:
- Ravens vs. Colts spread: Ravens -7
- Ravens vs. Colts over-under: 46 points
- Ravens vs. Colts money line: Ravens -330, Colts +260
- IND: Colts are 2-2 against the spread this season
- BAL: Under has hit in last two Ravens games
Why the Colts can cover
The Colts have a defense that is playing at a high level. Indianapolis allowed 203 total yards in a win over the Dolphins last week, and that performance included just 35 rushing yards and 17 points allowed. For the season, the Colts are No. 8 in total defense, giving up 330.8 yards per game. Indianapolis is also creating turnovers with consistency, generating a takeaway on 17.9 percent of defensive possessions and ranking in the top five with eight turnovers created in 2021.
Indianapolis is No. 7 in first downs allowed with only 76 in four games and leads the NFL in forced fumbles (five). The Colts have allowed only one rushing touchdown and also rank in the top 10 in pass defense, giving up 216.8 passing yards per game. Finally, Indianapolis is solidly above-average on third down, with opponents moving the chains on only 39.0 percent of their chances.
Why the Ravens can cover
The Ravens are No. 8 in the NFL in averaging more than 26 points per game and are No. 4 in total offense, generating 420 yards per contest. Baltimore ranks No. 6 in net yards per pass attempt (7.6) and No. 3 in yards per carry (5.2), with quarterback Lamar Jackson spearheading the attack with his arm and his legs. Baltimore is scoring points on nearly 45 percent of drives, No. 8 in the NFL, and takes care of the ball with a turnover on only 10.6 percent of possessions.
Defensively, the Ravens have an advantageous matchup against a Colts team that is scoring only 1.9 points per offensive possession this season. Baltimore has allowed fewer than 300 total yards in two straight games, and the Ravens are No. 7 in the NFL in rushing defense, yielding only 85.8 yards per game. Third down is often pivotal as well, with Baltimore giving up a conversion rate of only 31.1 percent.
How to make Ravens vs. Colts picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with both teams projected to generate more than 100 rushing yards. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see which side to back here.
So who wins Colts vs. Ravens on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Colts vs. Ravens spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.